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BracketBusters 2010

MacabreMob

New member
All this talk about the RPI - even though it is WAY TOO EARLY - has got me started on the BracketBuster thread for 2010. :D

Teams are ranked by their RPI after games played through Friday 12/4. I will update this weekly or so and more often in late January.

TV Matchups will be announced on Feb 1st (networks and time slots on Feb 8th).

Here is the MVC press release from earlier this year:
http://www.mvc-sports.com/ViewArticle.dbml?DB_OEM_ID=7600&ATCLID=204800355

Here is a PDF press release showing the teams and their conferences:
https://www.nmnathletics.com//pdf4/644730.pdf?ATCLID=204800355&SPID=2901&DB_OEM_ID=7600&SPSID=36371

One thing I noticed... there are 3 teams ALREADY scheduled to play on Friday Feb 19th. Maybe their arenas were unavaliable on Saturday the 20th... or maybe they were hoping to get a leg up on a Friday TV slot. The three are UNI, SIU and South Carolina St. I have my doubts as to whether SIU will get a TV game, but it is way too early to tell. But what's funny is... South Carolina St is a ROAD team and UNI and SIU are a home team. Maybe SIU will get South Carolina St just because they are available and it won't be televised. LOL!

Anyway - here's the list. Remember - we can't play someone we already played this season and we can't play someone in our conference (had to say that for Squirrel ;)).

HOME TEAMS
11 Missouri St
12 Northern Iowa
33 VCU
44 Butler
52 E Kentucky
56 Murray St
70 Kent
79 Pacific
84 UC-Riverside
85 UW-GB
95 Radford
96 Bradley
101 Hofstra
105 UC-Irvine
106 Detroit
113 Canisius
115 Loyola-Md
123 Vermont
124 CS-Northridge
131 Austin Peay
136 Montana State
142 Idaho
146 Illinois St
154 St Peter's
163 George Mason
170 Miami-Oh
172 Utah St
175 Northeastern
176 Boise St
193 Iona
202 Ohio
209 Cleveland St
218 S Illinois
226 Appalachian St
238 Manhattan
239 Hawaii
248 Georgia St
263 Fresno St
265 Evansville
268 E Illinois
269 UW-Milwaukee
270 CS-Fullerton
281 Gardner Webb
284 Bowling Green
285 Creighton
287 Jacksonville St
297 Ball St
312 Deleware
323 C Michigan

ROAD TEAMS
24 William and Mary
32 Long Beach St
41 Nevada
42 Loyola
43 Indiana St
49 Western Carolina
74 Louisiana Tech
80 San Jose St
81 E Michigan
83 Wright St
99 Siena
103 Old Dominion
107 Rider
118 Youngstown St
128 Buffalo
130 Niagara
133 UNC Wilmington
134 W Michigan
152 Boston
160 Wichita St
161 Morgan St
190 Akron
201 Drexel
203 Tennessee Tech
205 New Hampshire
208 New Mexico St
214 James Madison
232 College of Charleston
234 Fairfield
240 Drake
242 UC Santa Barbara
243 Oral Roberts
254 Southeast Missouri
257 N Illinois
259 Valparaiso
271 Morehead St
278 Toledo
283 Presbyterian
288 Towson
291 Elon
298 Tennessee St
305 UC Davis
317 SIU-Edwardsville
320 Illinois-Chicago
328 Cal Poly
330 Winthrop
343 Tennessee-Martin
345 Marist
347 South Carolina St
 
Time to fire up my CAA bandwagon. Let's get ODU or Drexel in there.

And once again, all the power in the BB is in the home side of the split, not the away. Which means a few unfortunate teams will get useless home games. I'm already preparing to whine about it.
 
Not sure why UNI is locked into the Friday game of BB. There are no known conflicts in the McLeod Center or UNI-Dome on Saturday. I'll have to try to find out more info on this.
 
It's OK this year. Loyola is the only Horizon team on the sked. Now, if there were 4 of them....

Hmmm, we haven't played Youngstown St. yet and they are in the RPI vicinity of teams we may draw! :D

Seriously though Siena, Niagara or ODU again would be nice. We need to avenge the loss to ODU earlier this year, so that would make the most sense! ;)
 
Just an update as we head into a weekend of games.

HOME TEAMS
24 VCU
25 Missouri St
29 Butler
57 Hofstra
58 Radford
63 Austin Peay
77 Pacific
87 Kent
89 Murray St
99 UW-GB
100 Vermont
109 CS-Northridge
110 Bradley
126 E Kentucky
127 Montana State
129 Idaho
131 George Mason
133 Ohio
141 Miami-Oh
148 Iona
149 UC-Irvine
157 UC-Riverside
166 Manhattan
169 Appalachian St
174 Illinois St
178 Utah St
182 Canisius
185 UW-Milwaukee
186 Northeastern
191 Loyola-Md
193 Boise St
195 CS-Fullerton
197 S Illinois
201 Fresno St
209 Detroit
214 C Michigan
217 Bowling Green
219 Georgia St
224 Creighton
235 Ball St
236 Northern Iowa
239 Gardner Webb
242 St Peter's
256 Evansville
257 E Illinois
258 Hawaii
276 Cleveland St
288 Jacksonville St
305 Deleware

ROAD TEAMS

18 Western Carolina
19 William and Mary
33 Long Beach St
36 Loyola
59 E Michigan
65 Siena
68 Indiana St
79 Buffalo
82 Louisiana Tech
84 Nevada
91 W Michigan
103 Niagara
107 Old Dominion
123 Wright St
124 Morgan St
140 Fairfield
142 Akron
144 Boston
146 Illinois-Chicago
154 New Mexico St
155 Wichita St
160 College of Charleston
161 UNC Wilmington
165 Youngstown St
167 Tennessee Tech
171 Drexel
180 San Jose St
188 Rider
196 Valparaiso
200 Oral Roberts
208 New Hampshire
212 Elon
216 UC Santa Barbara
236 N Illinois
246 Cal Poly
252 South Carolina St
260 Winthrop
265 Drake
266 Southeast Missouri
275 Morehead St
277 James Madison
280 Presbyterian
290 Towson
299 Tennessee St
308 Toledo
327 UC Davis
330 SIU-Edwardsville
338 Tennessee-Martin
343 Marist
 
Here we are just before Christmas.

HOME
12 VCU
21 Butler
33 Northern Iowa*
43 Missouri St
55 Austin Peay
62 Kent
79 Murray St
85 Radford
97 Hofstra
99 Pacific
105 UW-GB
108 Ohio
118 Bradley
122 Appalachian St
128 Montana State
131 Vermont
134 E Kentucky
135 George Mason
147 S Illinois*
148 Iona
149 Miami-Oh
150 Idaho
152 Illinois St
157 Manhattan
160 UW-Milwaukee
168 Loyola-Md
169 Utah St
175 Canisius
178 CS-Northridge
181 E Illinois
183 Northeastern
184 Detroit
185 Boise St
193 UC-Irvine
195 Hawaii
196 Bowling Green
202 UC-Riverside
211 Creighton
218 Cleveland St
220 C Michigan
222 Georgia St
229 St Peter's
234 Ball St
236 Fresno St
240 Deleware
262 Gardner Webb
281 Evansville
287 CS-Fullerton
328 Jacksonville St

ROAD
7 William and Mary
17 Western Carolina
35 Long Beach St
37 Old Dominion
42 Buffalo
48 Indiana St
49 Loyola
56 Siena
72 Nevada
75 Niagara
95 Morgan St
100 Wichita St
104 Louisiana Tech
106 W Michigan
120 Oral Roberts
127 Drexel
136 San Jose St
140 Wright St
142 Fairfield
145 Rider
153 UNC Wilmington
158 Youngstown St
161 E Michigan
163 Boston
171 College of Charleston
179 New Mexico St
180 Akron
192 Tennessee Tech
200 UC Santa Barbara
224 South Carolina St*
237 New Hampshire
245 Elon
250 Morehead St
252 Southeast Missouri
255 Valparaiso
260 Drake
270 Winthrop
271 Illinois-Chicago
273 James Madison
283 Cal Poly
285 N Illinois
290 Tennessee St
294 Towson
295 Presbyterian
300 Toledo
310 SIU-Edwardsville
318 Tennessee-Martin
333 UC Davis
346 Marist

*Teams already scheduled for Friday
 
In the Christmas spirit, I thought I would give a prediction based on today's RPI's.

Top 15 matchups:

VCU vs Western Carolina
Butler vs William and Mary
Northern Iowa vs Long Beach St
Missouri St vs Old Dominion
Austin Peay vs Buffalo
Kent vs Indiana St
Murray St vs Loyola
Radford vs Siena
Hofstra vs Niagara
Pacific vs Wichita St
UW-GB vs Nevada
Ohio vs Morgan St
Bradley vs W Michigan
Appalachian St vs Louisiana Tech
Montana State vs Oral Roberts
 
This early in the year, you'd probably get a more accurate projection using Sagarin because of it's PREDICTOR element (forward-looking) In theory RPI should move in Sagarin's blended direction with more data.
 
By request, an update:

HOME
20 Butler
22 Northern Iowa
27 Missouri St
37 VCU
67 Northeastern
80 S Illinois
81 Pacific
83 Illinois St
84 Murray St
85 Kent
96 Austin Peay
97 UW-GB
103 Ohio
104 George Mason
107 Bradley
113 Iona
114 E Kentucky
119 Radford
127 Idaho
132 Utah St
135 Montana State
136 Hofstra
147 Appalachian St
150 Detroit
155 Vermont
157 Loyola-Md
165 Bowling Green
167 UW-Milwaukee
184 Miami-Oh
187 Cleveland St
190 Canisius
191 Creighton
192 Fresno St
196 Boise St
197 E Illinois
207 CS-Northridge
209 Hawaii
211 C Michigan
213 Ball St
216 Deleware
217 UC-Riverside
228 UC-Irvine
231 St Peter's
245 Manhattan
252 Georgia St
269 Evansville
275 Gardner Webb
276 CS-Fullerton
327 Jacksonville St


ROAD
19 William and Mary
26 Western Carolina
42 Old Dominion
47 Siena
53 Nevada
55 Long Beach St
63 Indiana St
64 Loyola
65 W Michigan
77 Louisiana Tech
82 Wichita St
91 Buffalo
102 UNC Wilmington
109 San Jose St
111 Wright St
115 Drexel
122 Fairfield
125 Niagara
128 Oral Roberts
137 College of Charleston
143 Rider
145 Morgan St
152 Boston
158 UC Santa Barbara
162 Akron
175 New Mexico St
181 South Carolina St
183 E Michigan
186 Tennessee Tech
202 Morehead St
220 Youngstown St
229 Valparaiso
240 Illinois-Chicago
255 New Hampshire
259 Elon
263 Winthrop
267 Cal Poly
270 James Madison
271 Drake
272 Southeast Missouri
273 Tennessee St
279 Presbyterian
281 N Illinois
295 Toledo
300 Tennessee-Martin
304 SIU-Edwardsville
309 UC Davis
312 Towson
345 Marist
 
Looks like I may finally get my dream matchup with Niagara.

Right now - it looks like Wright St might be a good fit. (IMO)

And then maybe next year, when we make the return trip to the Dayton area - maybe, just maybe, we can get Xavier, Cincinnati, Dayton, or Miami on the schedule. :D
 
Here's the update following the MVC's results from last night. (I only did yesterday's update by request) ;) I plan on doing them after the MVC has played games (so typically after Sat/Sun and after Tues/Wed). But I will update more often as we get closer to the Feb 1st and Feb 8th announcements of matchups.

I color coded Bradley to be easier to find and then suggested road teams by color code as to who I think we may draw.

HOME
20 Northern Iowa
21 Butler
41 Missouri St
50 VCU
70 Northeastern
79 Illinois St
82 Pacific
83 Kent
84 Ohio
88 Murray St
93 S Illinois
96 Bradley
99 Austin Peay
102 UW-GB
108 George Mason
115 E Kentucky
116 Iona
122 Radford
124 Idaho
134 Utah St
139 Montana State
142 Hofstra
153 Detroit
160 Vermont
166 Loyola-Md
169 UW-Milwaukee
173 Bowling Green
181 Appalachian St
183 Miami-Oh
185 Cleveland St
190 Fresno St
195 Canisius
196 Creighton
200 CS-Northridge
201 Boise St
203 Deleware
209 E Illinois
212 C Michigan
214 Hawaii
215 Ball St
220 UC-Riverside
223 UC-Irvine
231 St Peter's
246 Manhattan
259 Georgia St
271 Evansville
273 CS-Fullerton
280 Gardner Webb
324 Jacksonville St

ROAD
18 William and Mary
29 Western Carolina
43 Old Dominion
48 Siena
51 Long Beach St
56 Nevada
59 Wichita St
64 Loyola
71 W Michigan
72 Louisiana Tech

78 Indiana St
91 Buffalo
106 Drexel
110 UNC Wilmington
111 San Jose St
114 Wright St
127 Fairfield
129 Niagara
130 Oral Roberts

138 College of Charleston
140 Morgan St
147 Rider
151 Boston
162 New Mexico St
167 Akron
170 UC Santa Barbara
180 South Carolina St
187 E Michigan
189 Tennessee Tech
205 Morehead St
219 Youngstown St
229 Valparaiso
244 Illinois-Chicago

248 New Hampshire
253 Elon
266 Winthrop
267 N Illinois
268 Cal Poly
270 James Madison
275 Southeast Missouri
276 Tennessee St
277 Presbyterian
281 Drake
296 Toledo
301 SIU-Edwardsville
302 Tennessee-Martin
305 UC Davis
312 Towson
344 Marist
 
And so for poops and giggles, some predictions if today were Matchup Day:

Northern Iowa vs Western Carolina
Butler vs William and Mary
Missouri St vs Old Dominion
VCU vs Siena
Northeastern vs Long Beach St
Illinois St vs Nevada
Pacific vs Wichita St
Kent vs Loyola
Ohio vs Indiana St
Murray St vs W Michigan
S Illinois vs Louisiana Tech
Bradley vs Wright St
Austin Peay vs UNC Wilmington
UW-GB vs San Jose St
George Mason vs Buffalo
E Kentucky vs Drexel
 
Update after games played thru 1/10/10 (RPI data from Jerry Palm at collegerpi.com)

HOME
16 Northern Iowa
17 Butler
45 Missouri St
55 VCU
58 Northeastern
63 Kent
86 Murray St
92 Pacific
93 Illinois St
97 Iona
98 Bradley
108 Utah St
109 UW-GB
111 Ohio
119 George Mason
122 E Kentucky
125 Austin Peay
136 Radford
140 Vermont
145 S Illinois
146 Hofstra
158 Appalachian St
160 Idaho
162 UW-Milwaukee
164 Bowling Green
169 Detroit
170 Cleveland St
172 Loyola-Md
175 Montana State
183 Creighton
184 Fresno St
189 Miami-Oh
193 Deleware
203 E Illinois
204 C Michigan
209 Canisius
211 UC-Irvine
213 St Peter's
221 Manhattan
226 Boise St
227 Hawaii
237 CS-Fullerton
239 CS-Northridge
247 UC-Riverside
252 Ball St
262 Georgia St
269 Gardner Webb
270 Evansville
304 Jacksonville St

ROAD
23 William and Mary
40 Old Dominion
42 Siena
49 Nevada
53 Western Carolina
62 Wichita St
68 W Michigan
74 Louisiana Tech
82 Long Beach St

87 Indiana St
99 College of Charleston
103 Buffalo

106 Loyola
117 Fairfield
118 Drexel
126 Niagara
129 San Jose St
131 Morgan St
134 Wright St
139 New Mexico St
142 Boston
143 UNC Wilmington
144 Oral Roberts
149 Rider

150 South Carolina St
155 UC Santa Barbara
161 Akron
165 Morehead St
186 Youngstown St
195 E Michigan
219 Tennessee Tech
233 Valparaiso
238 N Illinois
248 Winthrop
254 Drake
261 James Madison
264 Illinois-Chicago
265 Cal Poly
272 New Hampshire
273 Tennessee St
275 Southeast Missouri
277 Elon
285 Presbyterian
307 Toledo
312 UC Davis
314 Towson
317 Tennessee-Martin
318 SIU-Edwardsville
342 Marist


Just some silly predictions (if today were Matchup Day):

Northern Iowa vs Old Dominion
Butler vs William and Mary
Missouri St vs Nevada
VCU vs Siena
Northeastern vs Western Carolina
Kent vs Wichita St
Murray St vs W Michigan
Pacific vs Louisiana Tech
Illinois St vs Long Beach St
Iona vs College of Charleston
Bradley vs Buffalo
Utah St vs Indiana St
UW-GB vs Drexel
Ohio vs Loyola
George Mason vs Fairfield
 
You might as well pencil in CAA leader @ Northern Iowa. Or hope Butler doesn't get that game.

Bradley once again is in no-man's land in the list (11th down). Of course, this time, BU has itself to blame for being down there.

I'll project in a bit.
 
projections based on what I think will happen, not just on current results

ESPN2
1) Old Dominion at Northern Iowa (#1 CAA vs. #1 MVC)
2) Siena at Butler (#1 MAAC vs. #1 Horizon)
3) William & Mary at Missouri St (#2 CAA vs. #2 MVC)
4) Western Carolina at Murray St (#1 SoCon vs. #1 OVC)
5) Nevada at Pacific (#1 WAC vs. #1 Big West)

ESPNU
6) Wichita St at Kent St (#3 MVC vs. #1 MAC)
7) Louisiana Tech at VCU (#2 WAC vs. #2 CAA)
8 )Fairfield at Northeastern (#2 MAAC vs. #3 CAA)
9) Western Michigan at Illinois St (#2 MAC vs. #4 MVC)
10) Long Beach St at Utah St (#2 Big West vs. #3 WAC)
11) College of Charleston at Wisconsin-Green Bay (#2 SoCon vs. #2 Horizon)

ESPN360
12) Morgan St at Radford (#1 MEAC vs. #1 Big South)
13) Oral Roberts at Vermont (#1 Summit vs. #1 AEast)

Notables off the board
Buffalo at Iona (#3 MAC vs. #3 MAAC)
Indiana St at George Mason (#5 MVC vs. #4 CAA)
Wright St at Bradley (#3 Horizon at #6 MVC)
 
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