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Expansion

Will believe it when I see it...


I think its much more likely that this happens:


Big East 12
ACC 10
Big 12 9
Big 10 8
SEC 7
A-10 7
Pac 10 5
CUSA 5
MWC 4
MVC 4
CAA 3
WCC 3
WAC 2
Horizon 1
MAAC 1
MAC 1
 
Will believe it when I see it...


I think its much more likely that this happens:

Well, we won't know, so I agree to disagree and we'll see.

One caveat: The NIT selection committee is bat**** insane, and using their seedings, those seeds won't translate. Texas Tech, being a 5 seed in the NIT, isn't making the 96 team NCAA field, for example. Do not trust the NIT selection committee.
 
Well, we won't know, so I agree to disagree and we'll see.

One caveat: The NIT selection committee is bat**** insane, and using their seedings, those seeds won't translate. Texas Tech, being a 5 seed in the NIT, isn't making the 96 team NCAA field, for example. Do not trust the NIT selection committee.

I can agree w/ you on that...


UNC being in was bad enough with 16 losses, but a 4...and no, I don't care that they made the championship game...


The other teams played 5 on 8 when they played them...
 
Well, we won't know, so I agree to disagree and we'll see.

One caveat: The NIT selection committee is bat**** insane, and using their seedings, those seeds won't translate. Texas Tech, being a 5 seed in the NIT, isn't making the 96 team NCAA field, for example. Do not trust the NIT selection committee.

Ill agree that because the name Texas Tech would not make the NCAA even expanded, but substitute Oklahoma for Texas Tech with the exact same resume/record and that name does get an NCAA invite. Eye balls eye balls, money, money.

Same goes for NC State, Arizona, USC, UCONN from this season. You are BCS and you are .500 or better you **** well will get heavy consideration, especially if you are Football known BCS.

Even in BCS the rules will be different. Mississippi would get less consideratiion then say UCLA if all things are equal.
 
I think some are buying into conspriacy theories too much. I sense overexaggeration of the demise here, to be honest. It WILL be a demise, but not a catastrophic one.

edit: Until the Big 10 expands to 16 teams. THEN we have catastrophic results on our hand.
 
Same goes for NC State, Arizona, USC, UCONN from this season. You are BCS and you are .500 or better you **** well will get heavy consideration, especially if you are Football known BCS.

Don't even need to be .500 in conference which I think is ridiculous...


I honestly couldn't care less if you played Syracuse, Duke, WVU, Kansas, and KState every night...

As far as I am concerned you should NEVER get in with a record under .500...that alone says that if you cant finish over that mark in your conference, why should you be let in?


I don't care who the team is, I'd much rather take a 13-3 team from the Colonial or even an 11-5 than a 7-9 team from the ACC that lost in the first round of their tournament.

I am sorry, but just because you PLAYED Maryland and Duke that shouldn't give you a free pass if you don't BEAT them!
 
edit: Until the Big 10 expands to 16 teams. THEN we have catastrophic results on our hand.

I was just going to say, the more the BCS conferences expand and the larger they get, the more it screws the mids...


I think the only real thing the Valley can do to offset this is to expand themselves...


Add Butler and another team (not SLU) and it probably is looked in a better light because what have we learned over time...


That more teams in conference = greater chance for NCAA bids
 
I think some are buying into conspriacy theories too much. I sense overexaggeration of the demise here, to be honest. It WILL be a demise, but not a catastrophic one.

edit: Until the Big 10 expands to 16 teams. THEN we have catastrophic results on our hand.

Then why expand?

Drake is not going to bring eyes/money to the table but Oklahoma/USC/UCLA certainly will.

Bringing more BCS's to the tourney makes absolute sense if you are going to expand. That means more 7th,8th place BCS's not more 2/3rd non BCS's.

Conspriacy if you want, but I think it is pure reality.
 
edit: Until the Big 10 expands to 16 teams. THEN we have catastrophic results on our hand.

You are right and football is going to drive everything.

Parts of the conference USA... ie Houston, Memphis, Tulsa. Parts of Mountain West ie Utah, BYU, TCU are all ripe and ready to move elsewhere and they will have to to survive in this BCS driven world.

You and STL are 100% correct if the Valley is not proactive they will get left behind bigtime. But even being proactive might not save the Valley if the Big Tens, Big 12's and Pac 10's expand wildly.

And eventually the football playing schools in the Valley... SIU, Missouri State, ISU are going to want more and they are all ideal for the Sun Belt or some sort of suto Conference USA. I think if one leaps the others will follow. My guess is Missouri State would go for it first.
 
Remember, this is the NCAA talking about wanting to expand, not the individual power conferences.

I don't think the NCAA cares who the extra 32 teams are. I think they feel they'll get the same revenue no matter who they are.



Back to that .500 conference record thing......2 things:

1) If a conference has a really big year, you're actually punishing it by having teams good enough that won't qualify. Yes, we all know about the mid-major injustices, but there can be power conference injustices too. Just because mid majors get screwed doesn't mean majors should get screwed too.

2) The Law of Unintended Consequences. If we set that rule, you're going to basically give a free pass to EVERY team that finishes at .500 or better to the NCAA tournament. All of a sudden, Virginia Tech and their flaky 10-6 mark get a free pass and gets them heralded. You know, VT's 5 opponents they played twice were the 8th, 9th, 10th, 11th, and 12th best teams in the ACC? Several ACC members went 9-7 in league play, and their 9-7 was more impressive than VT's 10-6.

The point being, banning all sub-.500 teams actually means letting in every .500 team or better, which actually means MORE power conference teams get in.
 
Remember, this is the NCAA talking about wanting to expand, not the individual power conferences.

I don't think the NCAA cares who the extra 32 teams are. I think they feel they'll get the same revenue no matter who they are.



Back to that .500 conference record thing......2 things:

1) If a conference has a really big year, you're actually punishing it by having teams good enough that won't qualify. Yes, we all know about the mid-major injustices, but there can be power conference injustices too. Just because mid majors get screwed doesn't mean majors should get screwed too.

2) The Law of Unintended Consequences. If we set that rule, you're going to basically give a free pass to EVERY team that finishes at .500 or better to the NCAA tournament. All of a sudden, Virginia Tech and their flaky 10-6 mark get a free pass and gets them heralded. You know, VT's 5 opponents they played twice were the 8th, 9th, 10th, 11th, and 12th best teams in the ACC? Several ACC members went 9-7 in league play, and their 9-7 was more impressive than VT's 10-6.

The point being, banning all sub-.500 teams actually means letting in every .500 team or better, which actually means MORE power conference teams get in.

TAS you seriously believe that the NCAA does not care who the other 32 teams are? Last year didnt a 16-14 or there about Arizona team make the field?

I look at the NCAA as the mouthpiece for ESPN, period. NCAA might not care so to speak but I guarantee you ESPN does, hence the NCAA cares.

VTech weren't they even this season a bubble team?

My bottom line is I think the NCAA is only expanding because it sees more revenue with more games... but thats not more UC Santa Barbara v Detroit. Its more games involving BCS schools with wide appeal, alumini bases and money. Advertisiers love more viewers and a game with NC State regardless of who they are playing will be better on the ratings then that UCSB v Detroit game.
 
TAS you seriously believe that the NCAA does not care who the other 32 teams are? Last year didnt a 16-14 or there about Arizona team make the field?

I look at the NCAA as the mouthpiece for ESPN, period. NCAA might not care so to speak but I guarantee you ESPN does, hence the NCAA cares.

VTech weren't they even this season a bubble team?

My bottom line is I think the NCAA is only expanding because it sees more revenue with more games... but thats not more UC Santa Barbara v Detroit. Its more games involving BCS schools with wide appeal, alumini bases and money. Advertisiers love more viewers and a game with NC State regardless of who they are playing will be better on the ratings then that UCSB v Detroit game.

I honestly believe they think the revenue is coming no matter who plays. In fact, more potential Cinderella stories. They think the presence of the additional games in themselves will pull in the dough. Who plays in it is irrelevant. Or, it is relevant, but it isn't a deciding factor whatsoever.
 
It is going to happen because of revenue, because games are televised regionally it should not matter what teams get in as there will be a lot of interest in the regions these teams come from, I only hope they have more criteria to go from in that conf. champions should be automatic and you need to have an above 500 record in your conference.
 
Who wants to watch a possible 1/24 matchup or a 2/23 matchup?

Had time to think about this today, and I realize this wouldn't happen. the 1 seed would play the winner of the 16/17 matchup I assume? So I was wrong. This could create the first 16/17 seed over a 1 seed ever. One seeds will be playing what are now bubble teams like Illinois and Miss. St. rather than a low major conference winner. That means a 1 seed could actually not win a single game in this format. They are still likely to win, but it is more possible for them to lose. Interesting. I'm still not for it.
 
Thats BS...


They will now try to justify inviting 10-12 Big East teams and 10 ACC teams and blah blah blah...


Everything is about the money and making the BCS happy...


Frankly its just garbage because I could care less about watching the 9th Big East team face the 7th ACC team in the first round...

That will not happen because it will be a 1st place mid against a 3rd place mid. The 9th place BCS team will play a 4th place mid!

Frankly I could be OK with the expansion but the seeding is my biggest concern. If this year is any indication of the way they will seed then the mid-majors will enter the Tourney with a huge disadvantage from the get go. If they would have had the expansion this year, UNI would have had to play in the 1st round and it would have been the 3rd game in a week for them before they met Kansas.
 
Remember, this is the NCAA talking about wanting to expand, not the individual power conferences.

I don't think the NCAA cares who the extra 32 teams are. I think they feel they'll get the same revenue no matter who they are.



Back to that .500 conference record thing......2 things:

1) If a conference has a really big year, you're actually punishing it by having teams good enough that won't qualify. Yes, we all know about the mid-major injustices, but there can be power conference injustices too. Just because mid majors get screwed doesn't mean majors should get screwed too.

2) The Law of Unintended Consequences. If we set that rule, you're going to basically give a free pass to EVERY team that finishes at .500 or better to the NCAA tournament. All of a sudden, Virginia Tech and their flaky 10-6 mark get a free pass and gets them heralded. You know, VT's 5 opponents they played twice were the 8th, 9th, 10th, 11th, and 12th best teams in the ACC? Several ACC members went 9-7 in league play, and their 9-7 was more impressive than VT's 10-6.

The point being, banning all sub-.500 teams actually means letting in every .500 team or better, which actually means MORE power conference teams get in.


#1- Once again, like I said, I don't care who you play, if you can't finish at better than half your teams in your conference, you don't deserve to get in...that would stop the whole 9 team entry in you have 16 teams and such...

There's absolutely no reason regardless of how strong your conf. is that a 7-9 team should get in, even if they win 20 games...who is to say that they didn't beat DePaul, South Florida, Cincinnati, and maybe 2 of the upper echelon teams...mediocre conference play should not be rewarded!

#2- If you read all my criteria, you'd see that VTech still wouldn't get in because of their out of conf RPI that I believe was in the 300's...so yeah, they're out. So no, 10-6 wouldn't help them AND 9-7 was fine...just no 8-8 or 7-9 and what not...
 
#1- Once again, like I said, I don't care who you play, if you can't finish at better than half your teams in your conference, you don't deserve to get in...that would stop the whole 9 team entry in you have 16 teams and such...

There's absolutely no reason regardless of how strong your conf. is that a 7-9 team should get in, even if they win 20 games...who is to say that they didn't beat DePaul, South Florida, Cincinnati, and maybe 2 of the upper echelon teams...mediocre conference play should not be rewarded!

Ok, maybe they beat up on DePaul, Rutgers, whatever. Or they play Syracuse, WVU, and Pitt twice apiece and go 3-3 in those games. The point is that they are most likely going to be a weak 7-9.....but every once in awhile, there's going to be a strong 7-9, and you can't deny a strong 7-9 team by making a rule for all the weak 7-9 teams.

#2- If you read all my criteria, you'd see that VTech still wouldn't get in because of their out of conf RPI that I believe was in the 300's...so yeah, they're out. So no, 10-6 wouldn't help them AND 9-7 was fine...just no 8-8 or 7-9 and what not...

For this particular example, sure.



Actually, before I respond, I should make sure: Are you talking about this rule for conference records in a 65 team field or a 96 team field? It makes a difference.
 
Ok, maybe they beat up on DePaul, Rutgers, whatever. Or they play Syracuse, WVU, and Pitt twice apiece and go 3-3 in those games. The point is that they are most likely going to be a weak 7-9.....but every once in awhile, there's going to be a strong 7-9, and you can't deny a strong 7-9 team by making a rule for all the weak 7-9 teams.



For this particular example, sure.



Actually, before I respond, I should make sure: Are you talking about this rule for conference records in a 65 team field or a 96 team field? It makes a difference.


Well, personally I would make it criteria that say IF you meet all youre certainly in and then go from there with say 5/6 and then 4/6....and it really could mean either 65 or 96....


The point really is that there need to be set criteria established so that coaches and schools can not say any longer "well, we weren't really sure what we needed to do to be selected" and "if we knew we had to do X we would've scheduled that way"....

I am so beyond tired of that!
 
Well, personally I would make it criteria that say IF you meet all youre certainly in and then go from there with say 5/6 and then 4/6....and it really could mean either 65 or 96....


The point really is that there need to be set criteria established so that coaches and schools can not say any longer "well, we weren't really sure what we needed to do to be selected" and "if we knew we had to do X we would've scheduled that way"....

I am so beyond tired of that!

I agree that there should be set criteria. Not necessarily to use in a rigid format as you suggest, but yes.

I just don't think conference record, just the raw conference record, is reliable enough to use one of the criteria. There's too much potential fluctuation that is out of control of the team involved.

And, to be fair, in a 96-team field, you can forget using a .500 conference record as a benchmark. Bradley would make that field in that case, while, in theory, an 8-10 Big East team would miss. I'm biased towards mid-majors as you all know, but even that scenario would be ludicrous.
 
And, to be fair, in a 96-team field, you can forget using a .500 conference record as a benchmark. Bradley would make that field in that case, while, in theory, an 8-10 Big East team would miss. I'm biased towards mid-majors as you all know, but even that scenario would be ludicrous.

No not necessarily...

Like I suggested, just because Bradley had their conf record, it doesn't mean they'd meet the other criteria...


AND then you have to rank all the teams 1- such and such before Bradley even would have a chance to get in...
 
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