4 MVC games Wednesday 2/3- and current standings

[squirrelgotdead]

I think BU will be the only team to sweep Drake.

BU can not afford to lose at Evansville, as that offsets probably 2 of Bradley's road wins.

Any mis-steps, BU must win at Indiana State to avoid playing on Thursday.

 

[Bravesfan]

Creighton won't be in the NIT unless they run the table. Had we won our home games we'd be a shoe-in for an NIT bid, but what's done is done. UNI and perhaps WSU dance, and the rest are CBI/CIT fodder barring a late miracle run by BU or CU to the NIT. There will be no NIT for ISU red, ISU blue, Drake, MSU, or the Braves most likely unless we run the table out and make the title game in St. Louis. With the CBI and CIT taking a very poor pool of teams, I have a hard time considering those a real 'postseason'. Let's just focus on finishing as high as we can in the MVC and positioning ourselves as good as we can for St. Louis.

I have to disagree on some of your observations. A couple of years ago SIU finished 12-6 in the Valley and something like 17-13 overall but still made the NIT. I think where you finish in the conference is even more important than the overall record. If the overall record was the sole indicator, MSU and SIU would be shoo-ins for the NIT if the season ended right now. But because they are tied for 8th right now, the NIT won't even give them a look.

Second, comparing this to the SIU example above, Creighton gets an NIT bid with a 4-2 conference finish, a Bracketbuster win (should be easy against Loyola, unlike our effort against them!), and one win in the Valley Tournament for good measure. That would give them an 11-7 Valley record and an 18-14 record overall. Most likely this would be good for an NIT road game, but they might get lucky and get a #4 seed.

Ditto for Bradley. 11-7 in the Valley, a BB win and one in the MVCT gets them to 18-13 and probably the same seed. Bradley probably needs to finish alone in third as they already lost to Creighton and most likely will get swept by them, but the NIT is certainly not out of the question, though this will be easier said than done.

Finally, ISU red, ISU blue and MSU all have good enough overall records for NIT bids, but they would all need to finish in the top 3 with 10 or 11 wins to be considered.

 

[SaintLouBrave22]

The teams tied at 6-6 are obviously listed in order of overall record. How would the placings look based on tiebreaker points to date?

Bradley would actually be pretty high up there w/ their 2 wins over Drake...

In the round-robin they would be 3-1 w/ another win against INSU and the loss @ ISU.

So:

Indiana St - 2-1
Drake - 1-3
ISU - 1-2

So Bradley would be #4, INSU #5, ISU #6, and Drake #7 (so Drake's game @ ISU is huge Sat.)

 

[TheAsianSensation]

I did NIT projections a few days ago:

NIT brackets

East
1) Connecticut (13-8 ) vs. 8 )Northeastern (14-8 )
4) VCU (15-5) vs. 5) Memphis (15-6)
2) Maryland (13-6) vs. 7) Harvard (13-4)
3) Florida (15-6) vs. 6) Washington St (15-7)

South
1) South Carolina (13-8 ) vs. 8 )Providence (12-9)
4) North Carolina (13-8 ) vs. 5) Notre Dame (15-7)
2) Tulsa (16-4) vs. 7) Louisiana Tech (18-4)
3) Minnesota (13-8) vs. 6) Oklahoma (12-9)

Midwest
1) Dayton (15-6) vs. 8 )South Florida (14-7)
4) Virginia Tech (16-4) vs. 5) George Mason (15-7)
2) Seton Hall (12-7) vs. 7) Marshall (13-6)
3) Northwestern (14-7) vs. 6) Virginia (13-6)

West
1) San Diego St (13-6) vs. 8 )St John's (12-8 )
4) Texas Tech (14-7) vs. 5) Washington (14-7)
2) Illinois (14-8 ) vs. 7) UTEP (15-5)
3) Marquette (13-8 ) vs. 6) Miami (15-5)

Tell me how a 3rd place Valley team fits in any of those spots.