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Here is Joe Lunardi's latest assessment on ISU's chances for the NCAA Tournament. He still has them as an 11 seed (not in the "Last Four In" category), but it seems like he feels they could be on shaky ground as the week progresses:
6 Vanderbilt vs. 11 Illinois St
Tampa
Team Record (Conf.) RPI SOS Last 12
Vanderbilt 25-6 (10-6) 10 35 8-4
Illinois St 23-9 (15-6) 34 68 9-3
Vanderbilt
Here's another team where the profile and rankings are widely disconnected. Splitting the difference puts Vandy in the No. 5-6 seed range.
Why seeded here?
I would have bet my house that Vanderbilt would lose at either Arkansas or Alabama.
May change because:
The Commodores instead lost both to soften an already so-so road record.
Good Wins
RPI 1-25: South Alabama, Tennessee
RPI 26-50: Massachusetts, Kentucky, Mississippi State
Bad Losses
RPI 101-200: @Alabama
RPI 201+: none
Illinois St
Only a disastrous MVC title game performance could have damaged the Redbirds. Well, a 30-point hammering with everyone watching certainly qualifies as a disaster.
Why seeded here?
With no Top 50 wins, it's going to be an awfully long week at Illinois State.
May change because:
Will finishing second in a down Valley be a positive or a negative for the Redbirds?
Good Wins
RPI 1-25: none
RPI 26-50: none
Bad Losses
RPI 101-200: @Bradley, @Northern Iowa, @Indiana State
RPI 201+: @Eastern Michigan
6 Vanderbilt vs. 11 Illinois St
Tampa
Team Record (Conf.) RPI SOS Last 12
Vanderbilt 25-6 (10-6) 10 35 8-4
Illinois St 23-9 (15-6) 34 68 9-3
Vanderbilt
Here's another team where the profile and rankings are widely disconnected. Splitting the difference puts Vandy in the No. 5-6 seed range.
Why seeded here?
I would have bet my house that Vanderbilt would lose at either Arkansas or Alabama.
May change because:
The Commodores instead lost both to soften an already so-so road record.
Good Wins
RPI 1-25: South Alabama, Tennessee
RPI 26-50: Massachusetts, Kentucky, Mississippi State
Bad Losses
RPI 101-200: @Alabama
RPI 201+: none
Illinois St
Only a disastrous MVC title game performance could have damaged the Redbirds. Well, a 30-point hammering with everyone watching certainly qualifies as a disaster.
Why seeded here?
With no Top 50 wins, it's going to be an awfully long week at Illinois State.
May change because:
Will finishing second in a down Valley be a positive or a negative for the Redbirds?
Good Wins
RPI 1-25: none
RPI 26-50: none
Bad Losses
RPI 101-200: @Bradley, @Northern Iowa, @Indiana State
RPI 201+: @Eastern Michigan
Interesting how people think sometimes!
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