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State of the Valley

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  • State of the Valley

    Looking at RPI's, Drake running away with the Valley at the moment does not seem to help the Valley's case for a second NCAA tournament bid. However, the number 8 conference in the RPI should still be able to field a second bid if Drake sweeps the regular season and Valley tournament, in my opinion. But it may be tough if the season ends like this.

    Looking at the Big Ten conference in comparison, despite being just two spots ahead of us in the rankings, the big difference between them and the Valley is that they have five teams that have greatly separated themselves from the rest of the conference. They all have conference records from 6-0 to 7-1 and 6-2. Four of the five have great RPI's with Purdue's RPI of 60 the exception. And no other team has an above .500 conference record.

    The Valley by comparison has one team ahead of the "second tier of upper teams", which are ahead of the rest. The problem is that these second tier teams all have marginal conference records except for Illinois St, who's in a slump now anyway. So Illinois St would be the only team to have a case for an at-large, but not a very good one at the moment, though that could change. If the season ended today, I could see the third place team at 11-7 or even just 10-8.

    My question is would this parity be good for the conference, or would the selection committee just see us as a conference comprised mainly of average teams other than Drake? Lot's of games left, so things will almost certainly change, but what record and placement would it take for a team to qualify for a second potential at-large bid?

  • #2
    Personally it's a crap shoot right now. MVC has had 2 teams in for what, the last 8 yrs? I think the committee knows that the MVC is good enough for 2 no matter of the standings. 3 is doubtful at this point. If BU can at least get in a tie for 2nd place, currently 2 games back, and get to the MVC champ. game against Drake, then I think BU has an at large with our SOS and decent record. Just have to take er 1 game at a time, standings are changing big time with each MVC game now.

    Jason

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    • #3
      Repeat after me: teams get bids, not conferences.

      Teams get bids, not conferences.


      There will eventually be a 2nd team from the MVC. Logic says so. However, as of right now, there is no 2nd team, and frankly, no one close to being the 2nd team.

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      • #4
        Asiansensation is right! We need to win the MVC Tourney to assure to make the DANCE. So I'll be happy if we stay out of the play in, which is looking real positive and then take it from there.
        "Educate and inform the whole mass of the people...they are the only sure reliance for the preservation of our liberty."
        ??” Thomas Jefferson
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        • #5
          Man, I'd like maybe about 2 of our Ruffinless losses back right now. 7-3 streaking towards 13-5 in the Valley would sure be handy right about now.

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          • #6
            It is easy to say "we are a one bid league" because of "this or that," but we have a league RPI of 8 for a reason.

            Make a list of who the at large candidates are with their records, RPI's, etc. See where our 2-5th place teams statck up and then that type of statement holds some weight.

            I am not claiming to know, but I am not sure those who make the "one bid" type comments have done any real research either.
            Get Well Massive Mike! "Once a Brave always a Brave!"

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            • #7
              Originally posted by Double D View Post

              Make a list of who the at large candidates are with their records, RPI's, etc. See where our 2-5th place teams statck up and then that type of statement holds some weight.
              Don't have time to list them all.....we don't hold up very well at all to the A-10. The Mountain West is top heavy and probably has us beat too, although it's pretty close.


              The one thing the MVC has for a trump card is SoS.

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              • #8
                ISU actually had another excuse for their loss at UNI.......their flight out of Bloomington-Normal on Tuesday
                was grounded and they weren't able to leave until Wednesday morning. This ruined the chances to get a mid-day shootaround at Northern Iowa,
                and probably had a little affect on their preparedness.

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                • #9
                  When Drake loses to us in the semi's in St. Louis, the MVC becomes a multi-bid league. It doesn't take a rocket scientist or any self-proclaimed bracketologist to figure this out.

                  The MVC will get TWO teams in the tournament...BOOK IT!
                  Onward and Upward!

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