Bradley Favored

[MacabreMob]

I think 70% is pretty good for sports betting.

EX: You play 10 games and try to win $100 each wager. You must put up $110 in order to win $100. So if you win 5 and lose 5, you actually don't break even cause you are out the 'juice' (in this case... win 500 and lose 550... so out 50). You would really need to win at least 6 to be making any money. I'd say 65% would be the best one could hope for and anything over it in a hot streak is gravy. So if this guy has been 70% for 5 years running... that's pretty good. And he's 80% right now.... either he is on fire and you need to get on the bandwagon, or look out - he's due for a bad streak to correct his average back to 70%.

And until someone has put real money on a wager, I don't care what they say about what they would have bet. If you liked it enough, you woulda played it. Money talks - bs walks. There are no talking rights to 'knowing' the outcome unless you have money in action. Cause believe me... I am one of the BEST handicappers of a race AFTER it is over (it all makes sense why so-n-so won and why so-n-so lost).

[dogsrus]

O/u not established yet and I am going to catch some zzzzzzzzzzzzzz's
Gotta get ready for the Big game tomorrow night.

Sleep well and don't forget.....WEAR RED.

[it's boogie time]

I think 70% is pretty good for sports betting.

I don't think he is betting against a spread. He is just picking winners. It doesn't sound like he is going out on a limb by predicting the favored team by about the same amount as the spread.

[BradleyBrave]

I don't think he is betting against a spread. He is just picking winners. It doesn't sound like he is going out on a limb by predicting the favored team by about the same amount as the spread.

Exactly. 70% against the spread will get you either hired by Vegas to set odds or hired by the mob to bet for bosses (see the movie 'Casino', based on the life story of Sam Rosenthal). If you're above 55% against the spread, and you bet in set units and not erratic amounts, you're gonna be profiting. Most 'experts' can't even get above 50% against the number.

[MacabreMob]

Wagerline is showing 133 as a total points.

Bradleybrave rubs his hands together..... grinning from ear to ear.... picks up the phone... "Sara, put me thru to Vinny in Vegas."

http://www.wagerline.com/Scores-odds/ncaab.aspx?r=1&t=0

[Grassman]

Totals traditionally aren't posted for basketball games until later in the day. I'm guessing it will come in the 140-150 range. If it's below 140, I would hammer the over.

BU may win by 2, they may win by 20. I think 11 is generous at this point.

Hammer away! o/u 133. I am with you. The over looks REALLY good.

[MacabreMob]

Boy... I lost the farm.

Good thing it was only my antfarm.

[BradleyBrave]

Big push if you took the Cyclones +10 and the over at 134. Didn't see that kind of offensive or defensive game coming from the Braves. The defense was impressive, the offensive was concerning.