Bradley Favored

[Grassman]

Bradley opens +9 1/2 over Ia St.

[BradleyBrave]

Bradley opens +9 1/2 over Ia St.

Don't you mean BU is -9.5 (i.e. a nine and a half point favorite) over Iowa St?

[MacabreMob]

Well, what do we do here Bradley Brave?

I said it would open at -6 (but should open at -8 1/2). You said -5.

Guess we better take Iowa St and the points, huh? Just kidding.

Wonder if Grassman has the o/u?

[BradleyBrave]

Well, what do we do here Bradley Brave?

I said it would open at -6 (but should open at -8 1/2). You said -5.

Guess we better take Iowa St and the points, huh? Just kidding.

Wonder if Grassman has the o/u?

I would take the points. BU hasn't shown me in the preseason or regular season that they can defend or play together just yet. BU should win, but it wouldn't surprise me if we gutted out a tight, sloppy win.

[Grassman]

Don't you mean BU is -9.5 (i.e. a nine and a half point favorite) over Iowa St?

Or Bradley favored by 91/2, or Bradley giving 9 1/2. Whatever!
One oddsmaker, CRIS, now has BU favored by 10.

[Grassman]

Well, what do we do here Bradley Brave?

I said it would open at -6 (but should open at -8 1/2). You said -5.

Guess we better take Iowa St and the points, huh? Just kidding.

Wonder if Grassman has the o/u?

O/u not established yet and I am going to catch some zzzzzzzzzzzzzz's
Gotta get ready for the Big game tomorrow night.

[Grassman]

ISU favored by 17, on CRIS 16, over SE MO. ST.

[Da Coach]

Las Vegas now has Bradley as 11 point favorites. It looks llike they have chosen not to post an over/under total for this game.--

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-basketball/teams/bradley/team-page/

[BUBraves06]

Las Vegas now has Bradley as 11 point favorites. It looks llike they have chosen not to post an over/under total for this game.--
http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-...ley/team-page/

That seems like a hell of a lot of points after how we looked Saturday, ISU must be really bad. I'd take the points but I don't bet against BU.

[Double D]

I am not a gambler by any stretch, but for years my brother and I sit at the game knowing the line and have been amazed at how accurate it can be in college hoops. However that is typically once you get into the conference season. These games are way too early in my opinion for them to have enough info to formulate the line properly.

I hope that I'm wrong, but -10 or -11 looks like an awful lot to me.

[BradleyBrave]

Las Vegas now has Bradley as 11 point favorites. It looks llike they have chosen not to post an over/under total for this game.--
http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-...ley/team-page/

Totals traditionally aren't posted for basketball games until later in the day. I'm guessing it will come in the 140-150 range. If it's below 140, I would hammer the over.

BU may win by 2, they may win by 20. I think 11 is generous at this point.

[shaunguth]

I would have to take the points in this case. I think Bradley will win the game, but probably in the 6-8 point range.

Prediction: 74-67

[shaunguth]

CBS' Tony Mejia has predicted a 75-63 Bradley victory.

For those that aren't aware, here's Mejia's record over the past five years:

Year to date: 189-44 (81.1%)

2006-07: 3,813-1,482 (72.0%)
2005-06: 3,473-1,346 (72.1%)
2004-05: 3,523-1,301 (73.0%)
2003-04: 3,606-1,300 (73.5%)
2002-03: 3,294-1,246 (72.6%)

[tornado]

72-73%.....that's not the least bit impressive, since using NO THOUGHT WHATSOEVER and going with simple stats (that show the higher rated RPI team wins 75-85% of the time) would do even better......

This reminds me of when Phil Theobald and Dick Lien used to participate weekly in the predictions for who's going to win the NFL games. Obviously a guy with a dart board or an Ouija Board would have been able to get about 50% right, as they were picking against the spread.

But year in and year out both of those guys would be UNDER .500!!!!!! Their season ending stats would always be only about 40+% accuracy.......often even less than the "guest picker" usually some lady who works at a muffler shop that buys advertising space in the PJ Star!!!

So....I don't think I'd get too excited about Mejia if his five-year success rate is no more than 70%!!!!

[shaunguth]

72-73%.....that's not the least bit impressive, since using NO THOUGHT WHATSOEVER and going with simple stats (that show the higher rated RPI team wins 75-85% of the time) would do even better......

This reminds me of when Phil Theobald and Dick Lien used to participate weekly in the predictions for who's going to win the NFL games. Obviously a guy with a dart board or an Ouija Board would have been able to get about 50% right, as they were picking against the spread.

But year in and year out both of those guys would be 30-50 picks
UNDER .500!!!!!! Their season ending stats would always be only about 35-40% accuracy.......always even less than the "guest picker" usually some lady who works at a muffler shop that buys advertising space in the PJ Star!!!

So....I don't think I'd get too excited about Mejia if his five-year success rate is no more than 70%!!!!

I wouldn't get overly excited about it either. For the record, as of right now Iowa State is the much higher-rated RPI team so I'll be quite pleased when Bradley bucks the trend in a little over eight hours!