If we win our last 2 games we more then likely will play the winner of the Ind. St. or Murray St. game. If we finish 3rd it looks like us playing Valpo or UIC for our first game.
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2025 Arch Madness
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This is a sticky topic.
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Originally posted by houstonbrave View PostOur situation is pretty clear - win Sunday finish second and play at 6pm on Friday. Lose Sunday and make me stay up for the 830 pm game because we finish 3rd
Though there might be a statistically minuscule chance of Bradley leaping over Drake and getting the # 1 seed, that is so unlikely that realistically Bradley is looking at either the # 2 or # 3 seed.
To get the #1 seed, Bradley would have to finish 2-0, while Drake would have to lose both their remaining games at Evansville and at home against Missouri State. That would result in the 2 teams tying at 15-5. But, then, somehow, Bradley's NET would have to move ahead of Drake's for the Braves to win that tiebreaker. Drake is currently at 58, Bradley at 84. That big of a change is not going to happen.
So Bradley needs a win against Northern Iowa and a tie with UNI in the final standings, and that should result in Bradley getting the # 2 seed, by virtue of their better NET. A loss to UNI would almost certainly give Bradley the # 3 seed.
Most seasons, the # 2 seeded team is going to be a better team and would play a weaker team in the quarterfinals than the # 3 seed would play. That explains why far more # 2 seeds advance than # 3 seeds. But this season is unusual, in that I think there won't be as much difference in the chances of the # 2 versus the # 3 seed advancing. But it would be important to go into the tournament on a winning note.
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