The NCAA tournament is almost all chalk in the S16 this year. The highest seeds still in the tournament are an 11 seed NC State and a 6 seed Clemson. It is just the fifth time in tournament history that all 1 & 2 seeds made the S16. In addition two 3, 4, & 5 seeds are in the S16 as well. In fact, 14 of the 16 teams in the S16 are from power conferences and the remaining two teams (San Diego State & Gonzaga) are the runner up from last year and the other, one of the most successful basketball programs in the country over the last 20+ years.
There is no cinderella in the S16 this year despite what people say about NC State, IMO.
I believe this is the turning point to a new era post-NIL and transfer rules. The tournament will become more chalky in the future. The mid-majors had a strong run post-COVID as the eligibility rules allowed for older rosters which propelled the mid-majors to stronger performances. However, the impact of the extra COVID year has run its course. The new transfer rules will no longer be balanced by having older rosters across the country.
In other words, college basketball appears to be on the verge of becoming very top-heavy. Many top players that were at mid-major schools contributed a great deal to power teams this year after transferring in. It wasn't just Domask, Jones, Mast, etc. There were many more. This is going to continue at a heavy level in the future.
In addition, I do think that mid-majors will be able to continue to put good teams on the floor, but they will be hampered by poor roster depth. This was one of the major weaknesses with Bradley this year, and I believe it will be more of a challenge for many mid-majors going forward as decent bench talent will be hard to come by.
It appears this year is the turning point, and it feels like it may become much more difficult for non-power teams to make the S16 in the future.
There is no cinderella in the S16 this year despite what people say about NC State, IMO.
I believe this is the turning point to a new era post-NIL and transfer rules. The tournament will become more chalky in the future. The mid-majors had a strong run post-COVID as the eligibility rules allowed for older rosters which propelled the mid-majors to stronger performances. However, the impact of the extra COVID year has run its course. The new transfer rules will no longer be balanced by having older rosters across the country.
In other words, college basketball appears to be on the verge of becoming very top-heavy. Many top players that were at mid-major schools contributed a great deal to power teams this year after transferring in. It wasn't just Domask, Jones, Mast, etc. There were many more. This is going to continue at a heavy level in the future.
In addition, I do think that mid-majors will be able to continue to put good teams on the floor, but they will be hampered by poor roster depth. This was one of the major weaknesses with Bradley this year, and I believe it will be more of a challenge for many mid-majors going forward as decent bench talent will be hard to come by.
It appears this year is the turning point, and it feels like it may become much more difficult for non-power teams to make the S16 in the future.
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