2024 MVC Tournament seeding probabilities

[Da Coach]

Another metric that Bradley ranks high in the country in- Effective Field Goal Percentage.
Indiana State is # 1 in the country. Bradley is # 19, and is the 2nd highest ranked MVC team - https://twitter.com/ValleyHoops/stat...75092167692635

[Da Coach]

Latest update on the MVC seeding probabilities- https://twitter.com/mjhackman/status...98650998653071




If Bradley does end up with the #3 seed, they will get a first round bye and not play on Thursday, and will play Friday at 8:30 pm against the winner of the #6 seed-#11 seed game.- https://mvc-sports.com/feature/24Arch

[Da Coach]

Matt Hackman's latest seeding probabilities for the MVC- https://twitter.com/mjhackman/status...73210992947303

[Stryker]

Matt Hackman's latest seeding probabilities for the MVC- https://twitter.com/mjhackman/status...73210992947303

Things are pretty locked in except for the 4 seed, should be a real battle there. I don't think there is much chance of any of the top 3 winning out in St. Louis, but anything can happen.

[Da Coach]

Latest update- https://twitter.com/mjhackman/status...19255232868447

[Da Coach]

Latest seeding probabilities - https://twitter.com/mjhackman/status...63483964055703
For some reason, Matt Hackman has rearranged the teams into alphabetical order, instead ordered by where they are in the standings. Bradley remains solidly as the # 3 seed.

[Da Coach]

Seeding probabilities and calculation of winning probabilities for the last 3 games of the season for each team.
Bradley has 87% probability of win over ISU, 75% probability of win over SIU, and 31% probability of win over Drake.
(calculations based on Kenpom ratings)
Also, Indiana State favored to win #1 seed.
>> https://twitter.com/mjhackman/status...64203001938091

[Da Coach]

Another update of seeding probabilities from Matt Hackman - https://twitter.com/mjhackman/status...97421618905450

[BRAVE82]

We really need to beat SIU to lock up the #3 seed. Assuming a loss at Drake we would still be a #3 seed. If we lose both games, there could potentially be a four way tie for 3rd place or a three way tie for 4th place.

[Da Coach]

Seeding probabilities after yesterday's game - https://twitter.com/mjhackman/status...62781563756995

[Da Coach]

Updated seeding probabilities with 1 game left- https://twitter.com/mjhackman/status...51472797794717

[BUfan14]

I’d love to see SIU fall to the 6th seed. The other two scare me in round one (assuming UIC doesn’t pull an upset, which is fine too).

[tomahawk chop]

I’d love to see SIU fall to the 6th seed. The other two scare me in round one (assuming UIC doesn’t pull an upset, which is fine too).

It looks like UNI against us Fri. night. It really does not matter because you need to win 3 games .

[Dub]

It looks like UNI against us Fri. night. It really does not matter because you need to win 3 games .

No, according to this overanalysis there is a less than 50% chance it is Bradley vs UNI right now…. Actually far less than 50% when you consider the fact that if the 6 seed advances to the qtr final, they will have had to win a game already.

[tomahawk chop]

No, according to this overanalysis there is a less than 50% chance it is Bradley vs UNI right now…. Actually far less than 50% when you consider the fact that if the 6 seed advances to the qtr final, they will have had to win a game already.

SIU beats UNI Sunday then UNI will be the 6th seed playing UIC Thurs. night, I would say it is a 90% chance.