Originally posted by Mikovio
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For the record, that NET ranking is from WarrenNolan.com (not the NCAA), and is one of the better websites that estimate NET rankings, and which will usually be what the NCAA will show when they start posting NET rankings sometime in December.
I'm not an expert, but from what I've read, there can be differences maybe because the NCAA's NET formula is quite a bit more complex (see below) and includes a number of analytics, scoring margin, etc., and there might be differences in the way the NCAA comes up with those compared to what bloggers use.
There have also been differences in what is considered a home game vs. road game vs. a neutral court game, which can affect the NET significantly.
Example: last year Bradley played Arkansas at a neutral site in Little Rock, not at Arkansas' home court in Fayetteville. But if you look at WarrenNolan.com schedule page for Bradley from 2022-23, they assign that game as a true road game ("AT Arkansas"). Maybe the NCAA did that, too, since it was a big home advantage for them, but I don't know if they reveal those things.
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The fine print at WarrenNolan.com confirms that the NET rankings shown are from the end of last year. The records are from this year, but not the NET rankings. Here's the fine print from just above the listing:
"NET Delta" is the change in a team's NET Ranking since MON, NOV 27th.
NET Rank updated for games through MAR 12th.
Since the "NET Delta" column is completely blank, the site -- like the NCAA -- is likely waiting a few more weeks to post this year's NET. Yajusneverno!
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Originally posted by Mikovio View PostI don’t think the NET has been released yet so you’re just looking at the final from last year.
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Originally posted by algotrader View PostNET is still partially a black box. I am weary of any algorithm that isn't fully published. With that said, it is more accurate if you ask me.
so obviously the formula is biased because the preseason ranking never see the unexpected strong mid-majors (like BU & Evansville) and all P-5 teams tend to have stronger schedules because the top P-5 opponents have to play them but can refuse to play midmajors.
NET was devised to help the 5, 6, 7th teams in P-5 conferences get in over the 1-2nd best teams in midmajor conferences.
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Amazingly, last night's clunker only dropped us three spots in the RPI. We're still #4 in the nation, so all is not lost! Let's start another win streak Saturday, protect the home court, and not dig ourselves a hole in the MVC race.
And if we shoot FTs well in the new PIA unis, I say keep 'em!Yajusneverno!
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Despite 2 straight losses, Bradley's RPI dropped only to #11- https://www.warrennolan.com/basketball/2024/rpi-live
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