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Whew! Where to begin? What a massacre today! Well, let me make my feeble attempt to try to predict who will be in.
The are the non-BCS conferences that will field multiple bids, no matter what:
Mountain West: BYU and UNLV, both locks.
WAC: Nevada and the Utah St/N Mexico St winner.
Atlantic 10: Xavier and the G Washington/Rhode Island winner.
Horizon: Butler and Wright St
CAA: VCU and either ODU or Drexel, but unlikely both.
MVC: SIU, Creighton......and possibly MSU (more on this in a moment)
If we go at 2 apiece, except for 3 from the Valley, that would be 13 bids for these six conference. This would leave 19 one bid conferences. That is 32 teams from the non-BCS conferences, which would leave 33 for the BCS boys.
My latest calculations for the BCS conferences are as follows:
ACC: Six at least, with Georgia Tech on the bubble.
SEC: Four at least, but can't count out either Mississippi teams just yet.
Big Ten: Possibly six, if Illinois and Purdue get in.
Pac 10: Five only as Stanford lost yesterday
Big 12: Five as Kansas St won today.
Big East: Most likely seven, though Syracuse is on the bubble, but most likely safe.
This would add up to exactly 33, but as one can see, there is still some wiggle room for a few teams. I can see Georgia Tech, Syracuse and Illinois being left out, as they still have some faults that could do them in on Selection Sunday. For example, will the committee believe that Illinois beating Indiana is enough considering Indiana has been slumping as of late themselves? Kentucky might not be a lock either after today's collapse!
Interesting that Brennan and Gottlieb just now on College Gamenight both believe that Missouri St should be in over Kentucky since they both have similar credentials, but Missouri St has the better marquee win. However, both also say that Kentucky gets in ahead of Missouri St due to tradition, though Gottlieb believes that Kentucky does not deserve to be in at all. Glad to see some analysts do see things in a more realistic fashion than certain pundits, but they also are aware of the politics that will probably keep Missouri St out. I for one still think Missouri St is in, but who the heck really knows until Sunday!
Then the question is what to do with teams like Air Force, Drexel, Bradley and Appalachan St. As one can see, a few of those BCS could still be passed over for teams like these. But after today, there is not as much wiggle room as there was at the start of the day, but still enough for a surprise or two on Sunday afternoon!
The are the non-BCS conferences that will field multiple bids, no matter what:
Mountain West: BYU and UNLV, both locks.
WAC: Nevada and the Utah St/N Mexico St winner.
Atlantic 10: Xavier and the G Washington/Rhode Island winner.
Horizon: Butler and Wright St
CAA: VCU and either ODU or Drexel, but unlikely both.
MVC: SIU, Creighton......and possibly MSU (more on this in a moment)
If we go at 2 apiece, except for 3 from the Valley, that would be 13 bids for these six conference. This would leave 19 one bid conferences. That is 32 teams from the non-BCS conferences, which would leave 33 for the BCS boys.
My latest calculations for the BCS conferences are as follows:
ACC: Six at least, with Georgia Tech on the bubble.
SEC: Four at least, but can't count out either Mississippi teams just yet.
Big Ten: Possibly six, if Illinois and Purdue get in.
Pac 10: Five only as Stanford lost yesterday
Big 12: Five as Kansas St won today.
Big East: Most likely seven, though Syracuse is on the bubble, but most likely safe.
This would add up to exactly 33, but as one can see, there is still some wiggle room for a few teams. I can see Georgia Tech, Syracuse and Illinois being left out, as they still have some faults that could do them in on Selection Sunday. For example, will the committee believe that Illinois beating Indiana is enough considering Indiana has been slumping as of late themselves? Kentucky might not be a lock either after today's collapse!
Interesting that Brennan and Gottlieb just now on College Gamenight both believe that Missouri St should be in over Kentucky since they both have similar credentials, but Missouri St has the better marquee win. However, both also say that Kentucky gets in ahead of Missouri St due to tradition, though Gottlieb believes that Kentucky does not deserve to be in at all. Glad to see some analysts do see things in a more realistic fashion than certain pundits, but they also are aware of the politics that will probably keep Missouri St out. I for one still think Missouri St is in, but who the heck really knows until Sunday!
Then the question is what to do with teams like Air Force, Drexel, Bradley and Appalachan St. As one can see, a few of those BCS could still be passed over for teams like these. But after today, there is not as much wiggle room as there was at the start of the day, but still enough for a surprise or two on Sunday afternoon!
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