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As of the standings right now, according to the MVC tiebreaker system posted above, UNI would win the tiebreaker over BU and Wichita, but WSU would finish 2nd, and BU 3rd- because more of their wins have been against the higher ranked teams in the league, while Bradley's wins have been mostly against the bottom teams.
That would have UNI getting the #4 seed, WSU #5, and BU #6. Bradley needs to move ahead of one of the other 2 to avoid the 3-6 game in the tournament.
UNI looks to be in free-fall mode and their schedule is NOT favorable, with games remaining against Missouri State, Creighton and BU. I think UNI finishes 6th, and you get WSU/BU in the 4-5 game on Friday afternoon.
Not too bad, considering we were picked to finish 8th or 9th.
I don't trust Missouri State! As good as they can be, this seems about right for the time in the season for their usual sputtering. Considering the difficulty of their remaining schedule, where they could lose their next three games very easily, they could potentially fall to the 4 seed. I see this happening if Wichita runs the table, which is also very possible if they can take Creighton down in the last game of the regular season (which could very well be a meaningless game for the Jays anyway).
I just don't think anything is really settled yet. It would not be fun to have to face the Bears in the 4/5 game.
In recent years, Missouri State has had a poor January record followed up by a good February. Last year, BU and MSU were the two 'hot' teams heading into St. Louis.
As far as BU goes, I hope MSU continues to win and gets the 3 seed and sets themselves up for an at large birth. I don't want BU to face MSU in the first round in St. Louis. That's just my opinion after seeing how BU matched up with them in the two games this year.
I think UNI would be the best match-up for BU in St. Louis, but I'm afraid it's looking like we're going to get Wichita in the 4-5 game. This is an OK match-up and is better than having to face MSU. We need to avoid them at all costs because we do not match-up well with them at all. I'd also like to see Creighton on the other side of the bracket too. I feel like we have a much better chance against SIU, then Creighton.
Are you still hoping for an at-large bid? Give it up already and face it that BU will be in the NIT unless they win the tournament. I've been a BU fan since the early 70's and I do not think they deserve a bid even if they win out and win a couple in St. Louis. Who have they beaten?
George, have you read all of my previous posts? I've said many times that I would be more than happy if Bradley makes the NIT. Considering where the pundants had predicted Bradley would finish, an NIT is a great accomplishment. Two or three NIT home games are certainly not out of the question either.
Having said that though, I'm not sure Bradley's at-large chances are completely done yet. Da Coach makes a good case for a Bradley at-large bid in his post below.
It won't matter who wins the tiebreaker. WSU will get an at-large bid light years before Bradley does based on their OOC performance. Even if WSU finishes a game behind Bradley, they'll get the NCAA bid as long as they finish 10-8. 9-9 may not be entirely out of the question for an at-large bid either for the Shockers.
I disagree! Bradley's RPI is better than WSU, and BU's nonconference Strength of Schedule is 60, and Wichita State's is a terrible 198! The NCAA selection committee pays a lot of attention to those numbers.
Those heralded early season wins by Wichita at George Mason, LSU, Syracuse, and Wyoming dont look so good any more. None are locks to make the NCAA, and all 4 could miss it.--
George Mason has a lousy 126 RPI, a 13-10 record, and they are just 7-6 in the Colonial League, which is not a good conference overall (#12 RPI) They have 4 good teams, and 8 bad teams. GMU has virtually no chance of making the NCAA and will be lucky to make the NIT.
LSU is now 13-10 and a terrible 2-7 and dead last in the SEC West. Their RPI is 89 and they will most likely not make the NCAA. They may make the NIT, but even that's not a lock.
Syracuse is still at RPI 63, they are 16-8, but just 5-5 and in 8th place in the Big East and in danger of missing the NCAA tournament.
And Wyoming is 13-11, and 4-6 in the Mountain West Conference with a 122 RPI. They have almost no hope of making the NCAA and will probably not even make the NIT.
I'll be honest. I did not know how bad LSU was doing. I thought "Big Baby" was going to lead LSU back to the Final Four. What happened to them this year?
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