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Here are the MVC Standings with 1 game left, and the teams' RPIs-
Wichita State is locked into the #1 seed.
Evansvile and Illinois State are competing with each other for seeds #2 and #3, but which seed each will get depends on the outcome of the final game. They spilt the 2 regular season games. The next tiebreaker is RPI. Because Evansville's RPI is significantly better than ISU's, Evansville will have to lose at home against UNI and ISU win at WSU for ISU to get the #2 seed.
The most likely scenario: Evansville will be the #2 seed and ILSU will be the #3 seed.
SIU and UNI are competing with each other for seeds #4 and #5. They split the 2 reguar season games, so this might be decided by RPI if they remain tied after Saturday's games. UNI's RPI is so much better than SIU's that the only way SIU can get the #4 seed is if they move a game ahead of UNI by winning at home against MSU and UNI losing at Evansville. UNI has the tougher game to win, so this is close to a toss-up, but the slightly more likely scenario is: SIU will be the #4 seed and UNI will be the #5 seed. In reality, it does not matter, since they will play each other Friday regardless of which team gets #4 or #5, for the priviledge of playing Wichita State in the semifinals on Saturday.
Missouri State, Loyola, and Indiana State can all finish #6, #7, or #8 depending on the out come of their final games. All 3 teams have already split 1-1 with the other 2. Missouri State is a game ahead of the other 2, but loses the tiebreaker to both because of their lowest RPI. MSU, not a good a road team (4-10 on the season), plays at SIU. If they win, they will get the coveted #6 seed and stay out of the Thursday night games.
Loyola, which is a fairly decent road team (they have won 5 road games this season) plays at Drake, and their RPI is better than MSU, but not as good at INSU. The only way they can get the #6 seed is if they win and both MSU and INSU lose Saturday.
And Indiana State (9-4 at home) is the only one of these 3 that has the advantage of playing at home, against Bradley. INSU's RPI is significantly better than LU or MSU. So they might be the favorite to move up to the #6 seed, but that can only happen if they win and MSU loses.
This one is tough to call, and any scenario is possible, but my guess is that Indiana State will win and move up to the #6 seed, Loyola will win at Drake and be #7, and Missouri State will lose at SIU and fall to #8.
Bradley is now locked into #9, and will play in the 6:00 PM game next Thursday night (March 3) against the #8 seed. And Drake is locked into #10, and will play the second game next Thursday night at 8:30 PM against the #7 seed.
Wichita State is locked into the #1 seed.
Evansvile and Illinois State are competing with each other for seeds #2 and #3, but which seed each will get depends on the outcome of the final game. They spilt the 2 regular season games. The next tiebreaker is RPI. Because Evansville's RPI is significantly better than ISU's, Evansville will have to lose at home against UNI and ISU win at WSU for ISU to get the #2 seed.
The most likely scenario: Evansville will be the #2 seed and ILSU will be the #3 seed.
SIU and UNI are competing with each other for seeds #4 and #5. They split the 2 reguar season games, so this might be decided by RPI if they remain tied after Saturday's games. UNI's RPI is so much better than SIU's that the only way SIU can get the #4 seed is if they move a game ahead of UNI by winning at home against MSU and UNI losing at Evansville. UNI has the tougher game to win, so this is close to a toss-up, but the slightly more likely scenario is: SIU will be the #4 seed and UNI will be the #5 seed. In reality, it does not matter, since they will play each other Friday regardless of which team gets #4 or #5, for the priviledge of playing Wichita State in the semifinals on Saturday.
Missouri State, Loyola, and Indiana State can all finish #6, #7, or #8 depending on the out come of their final games. All 3 teams have already split 1-1 with the other 2. Missouri State is a game ahead of the other 2, but loses the tiebreaker to both because of their lowest RPI. MSU, not a good a road team (4-10 on the season), plays at SIU. If they win, they will get the coveted #6 seed and stay out of the Thursday night games.
Loyola, which is a fairly decent road team (they have won 5 road games this season) plays at Drake, and their RPI is better than MSU, but not as good at INSU. The only way they can get the #6 seed is if they win and both MSU and INSU lose Saturday.
And Indiana State (9-4 at home) is the only one of these 3 that has the advantage of playing at home, against Bradley. INSU's RPI is significantly better than LU or MSU. So they might be the favorite to move up to the #6 seed, but that can only happen if they win and MSU loses.
This one is tough to call, and any scenario is possible, but my guess is that Indiana State will win and move up to the #6 seed, Loyola will win at Drake and be #7, and Missouri State will lose at SIU and fall to #8.
Bradley is now locked into #9, and will play in the 6:00 PM game next Thursday night (March 3) against the #8 seed. And Drake is locked into #10, and will play the second game next Thursday night at 8:30 PM against the #7 seed.
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