ESPN's Joe Lunardi issues his early NCAA Tournament field projection

[tornado]

His "Bracketology" - which is always hyped as accurate - however he revises it almost every day so of course the final one in March is always accurate...
But the one he issues earliest, in January, is a pure crapshoot based on everyone's record & ranking now.

He does have BOTH Wichita (4-seed) and Northern Iowa (6-seed) getting in..
He does not have loyola nor Evansville getting in - and I will be quite surprised if UNI gets a #6-seed.

http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/bracketology

[Da Coach]

I think his claims of accuracy apply only to his final prediction.

[tornado]

but people start quoting his January predictions as if they are accurate...

http://mgoblog.com/mgoboard/bracketology-lunardi-moves-us-4-seed

anyway, the Wall Street Journal checked his accuracy in 2009 and found that plenty of other people who do the same thing are MORE accurate

http://blogs.wsj.com/dailyfix/2009/03/19/the-count-seeking-better-bracketologists/

Then last year (2013) one other service ranked 40 different bracket projections from the year before - and Lunardi was said to have ranked 36th out of the 40 in accuracy...
Later that same year, however, in 2013 Lunardis prediction for the 2013 field was quite accurate - but then so were a lot of others'

http://csnbbs.com/thread-624652.html

[cpacmel]

I always assumed his January and Febuary Bracketology's were based on if the tournament were to start when he posts them, not for March.

Right now, I think UNI is a 6 seed, don't you? Come on March, that will probably change.

Also, he changes his picks / projections based on what happens on the court. UNI is a 6 seed now, but depending on what they do from now til selection Sunday, can change that up or down.

[bradleyfan124]

I didn't see Bradley's name in there. I bet I just missed it. Let me go thru it again

[tornado]

but let's say a few yards into a horse race I tell you who the leaders are...
that's always a nice thing to know but it isn't rocket science - anyone could do it....
and it would have little relevance to who is gonna win the race 1/2 mile later...bound to change...

That's how I look at Lunardi's early Bracketology...interesting but not really anything that just about anyone else can't do and not real relevant to what'll happen in March...