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Sagarin Strength of Schedule rankings

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  • Sagarin Strength of Schedule rankings

    linked below is Sagarin's most recent Strength of Schedule rankings

    This is an interesting time to view the 'SOS'-before the conference schedules kick in & changes everything.....it's telling IMO as to who had the softest non conference games

    The link is a bit busy-SOS is the 2nd column

    There are 351 teams ranked

    Bradley is the 282 ranked team(1st column)- with a SOS ranking of 300(out of 351)-2nd column

    Illinois St SOS was 108
    Illinois SOS was 253
    Indiana SOS 343
    UC Davis SOS 342

    dead last in SOS was Notre Dame at 351 !(and the Irish played Mich St and Fla St & still are ranked last

    with the ACC schedule kicking in, ND's SOS will improve of course....thought the info was interesting



  • #2
    if they have Notre Dame ranked dead last in SOS then they have discredited their system immediately - even you can clearly identify that is bogus...or a flaw in their algorithm

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    • #3
      6 of Notre Dame's 10 non-conference games have been against teams with a Pomeroy rating in the 300's, and a 7th was against #275. BU has only played 2 teams ranked #275 or lower, and all I seem to hear are complaints about our schedule. Notre Dame has played 7 teams #275 or lower and BU 2. That's why their SOS is where it is.

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      • #4
        TB wouldn't you agree with this point...

        there's a really big difference between a team that's #1 or #2 - compared to a team that's #25 or #30... BIG difference, and the #1 team would be expected to win 70, 80, maybe 90% of the time.

        BUT if you compare a team that's 250 or 275 with a team that's 330 or 340 - there's not a whole lot of difference...

        This is the flaw in that algorithm - that the system treats a loss OR EVEN A WIN vs. a 330 team as way, way worse than playing a 250-275 team when the difference is extremely negligible.

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        • #5
          Originally posted by capecod View Post
          ...

          Bradley is the 282 ranked team(1st column)- with a SOS ranking of 300(out of 351)-
          a couple followup thoughts....

          our non-conference Strength of Schedule finished up at around 230- 240 - slightly better than the past two years - but due to deceptive factors...
          First - we played Eureka as a regular season game which really weakens our schedule but that game IS NOT COUNTED because they are not D-I
          Second- we played two "buy-games" that we knew we were gonna lose, vs. Memphis & Kansas State - something we've almost never done in the past, and all we got out of those two games was a loss, a paycheck, and a little padding to our non-conference Strength of Schedule.


          Then recall when our RPI was so lousy early on (the opening post in this thread says 282) and yet some were squealing that it wasn't a fair measure cuz it was so early and that Bradley's RPI would surely improve when we played those tougher teams & conference opponents.

          Well - guess what - those people who always act like they know more about the RPI than anyone else were WRONG -- in the end the early RPI's were PRECISELY reflective of how bad we were!
          For the entire rest of the 30 game season, we never varied much from that 282 RPI and we now currently sit at 289 or 292 depending on who you read.

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