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  • #31
    I am finding early betting lines to have started at Louisville -9 but already trending towards -10/-10.5. The public loooovvveeesss Louisville early. Wsu was +4.5 against Pitt, +6 Vs Gonzaga, -4 vs LaSalle, +3.5 vs Ohio State and opened +9 against UofL.

    WSU beat Pitt by 18, which is 22.5 points better than the spread, beat Gonzaga by 6 which is 12 points better than the spread, beat LaSalle by 14 which is 10 points better than the spread, and beat Ohio state by 4, which is 7.5 points better than the spread.

    Vegas has gotten better on judging WSU each game during the tournament which makes sense. They are a mid major school, and it is harder to handicap a match which involves them vs a team not in the same conference (and vice versa). If this trend continues (which I believe it will) I think WSU loses by about 4. That would have them 5 points ahead of the spread, which seems about right (based off of current trends).

    My assumption is that WSU loses by 4. But 4 points?! That is a close enough assumed result for WSU to end up with a win (in my opinion)! I think Vegas is off on this, and although they have slightly corrected themselves, its not by enough. WSU has a real fighting chance in this game, and will be a lot closer than the lines are indicating.

    Lets go WSU!
    Lets go Valley!

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