TAS Bracketology 2/28

[TheAsianSensation]

C'here, Virginia Tech.


Next 3 in:
Utah St*
Georgia Tech
San Diego St
Illinois

Last 4 in:
Florida
Virginia Tech
Rhode Island
Dayton

Last 4 out:
Mississippi St
Mississippi
Wichita St
Washington

Next 4 out:
UAB
Arizona St
Kent St
Seton Hall

On the board yet (in order):
Memphis
South Florida
St Louis
Minnesota
William & Mary

[Braves4Life]

Georgia Tech just sealed the deal with a win over Maryland in ACC Tourney. Shumpert put the clamps on ACC POY Vasquez with a big strip of a 3-point attempt just before the buzzer that could have tied the game..............But I'm not sure Wake Forest will get a bid.

[Da Coach]

San Diego State just moved into Lunardi's "Last 4 In" with an upset win over #8 ranked New Mexico in the semifinals of the Mountain West Tournament. New Mexico just blew a chance at a #2 seed in the NCAA Tournament.

http://rivals.yahoo.com/ncaa/basketball/boxscore?gid=201003120404

[Bravesfan]

San Diego State just moved into Lunardi's "Last 4 In" with an upset win over #8 ranked New Mexico in the semifinals of the Mountain West Tournament. New Mexico just blew a chance at a #2 seed in the NCAA Tournament.
http://rivals.yahoo.com/ncaa/basketb...d=201003120404

Couldn't have happened to a "nicer" guy than Alford!

And that should just about do it for Wichita St. Any possible slim chance they had to make the tournament probably fell by the waste side with this game, unless some BCS team pays the price which is highly doubtful.

[Tulsa Brave]

Minnesota with a big win...still need more though.

I don't see Dayton at 8-8 in the A-10 getting in. Rhode Island may even need another win. I'm afraid Washington is going to make it 2 from the Pac 10.

[TheAsianSensation]

Lockboxing today:
Georgia Tech
Utah St

Next 2 in:
Illinois
San Diego St

Last 4 in:
Virginia Tech
Rhode Island
Mississippi St
Florida

Last 4 out:
Wichita St
Washington
UAB
Mississippi

Next 4 out:
Minnesota
Dayton
Arizona St
Seton Hall

The dream is dead:
Kent St
Memphis
South Florida
St Louis
William & Mary

The good news is seeing where Wichita St ended up the day at. And you can check the progression throughout the day - I didn't elevate them out of bias.

The problem is everyone ahead of them is going to stay ahead of them. MSU isn't going to drop by losing to Vandy. Florida is done. URI won't be punished for losing to Temple. VT is done. UI won't drop by losing to OSU. SDSU won't drop either.

By that same token, UAB, Ole Miss, Dayton, ASU, Seton Hall are done. Any game U-Dub loses will cost them on the board, so if they elevate, it's because they autobid. I also don't think a win over Purdue elevates Minny over Florida.

So, um what I'm saying is this:


What you see right now is basically what I'm going to project for Sunday.

[Future Walk-On]

Illinois is in....not NEXT in........unless i am reading it wrong (i never understand the in out last lingo)

[TheAsianSensation]

Illinois is in....not NEXT in........unless i am reading it wrong (i never understand the in out last lingo)

I'm leaving them on the list because:

Washington can win the Pac 10, taking one bubble spot away
Mississippi St can win the SEC, taking one bubble spot away
Minnesota can win the Big 10, taking one bubble spot away
Utah St can lose the WAC, leaving the WAC as a 2 bid conference instead of 1
Rhode Island can win the A-10, jumping past UI in pecking order by default
San Diego St can win the MWC, jumping past UI in pecking order by default
UI can lose to Ohio St, staying neutral

That's 6 teams that can leapfrog Illinois by getting the autobid or being eligible for the autobid, through no fault of UI. That's why they stay on the board for now.

[Tulsa Brave]

I'm leaving them on the list because:

Washington can win the Pac 10, taking one bubble spot away
Mississippi St can win the SEC, taking one bubble spot away
Minnesota can win the Big 10, taking one bubble spot away
Utah St can lose the WAC, leaving the WAC as a 2 bid conference instead of 1
Rhode Island can win the A-10, jumping past UI in pecking order by default
San Diego St can win the MWC, jumping past UI in pecking order by default
UI can lose to Ohio St, staying neutral

That's 6 teams that can leapfrog Illinois by getting the autobid or being eligible for the autobid, through no fault of UI. That's why they stay on the board for now.

Houston can steal a bid as well.

[Tulsa Brave]

Houston did steal a bid. New Mexico State tries to do the same tonight.

[Bravesfan]

I'm leaving them on the list because:

Washington can win the Pac 10, taking one bubble spot away
Mississippi St can win the SEC, taking one bubble spot away
Minnesota can win the Big 10, taking one bubble spot away
Utah St can lose the WAC, leaving the WAC as a 2 bid conference instead of 1
Rhode Island can win the A-10, jumping past UI in pecking order by default
San Diego St can win the MWC, jumping past UI in pecking order by default
UI can lose to Ohio St, staying neutral

That's 6 teams that can leapfrog Illinois by getting the autobid or being eligible for the autobid, through no fault of UI. That's why they stay on the board for now.

Rhode Island is most likely out now after getting clocked by Temple. And I think San Diego St is in regardless of what happens tonight. I also think Washington may be in anyway just because "it's the Pac-10". But the "big three" games involve Miss. St., Minnesota and New Mexico St. For those bubble teams out there that can't do anything more, they need to hope all three of those teams today!

[TheAsianSensation]

The bubble, it ebbs and flows.

My inkling is that U-Dub is NOT in.

I'm rooting for Purdue, because Minny is going to be a pretty tough call if they win this game.

Bye, URI.

[Bravesfan]

The bubble, it ebbs and flows.

My inkling is that U-Dub is NOT in.

I'm rooting for Purdue, because Minny is going to be a pretty tough call if they win this game.

Bye, URI.

I hope U-Dub is not in either (Washington I'm assuming you are talking about). The Pac-10 really does not deserve more than one bid IMO. But if that happens, will the extra spots go to mid-majors or to teams like Miss St. and Minnesota? We'll find out soon, but like I said, we have at least secured 7 at-large bids for non-BCS teams which represents and increase of 3 from last year. Not a bad jump, and hopefully there will be room for one or two more.

[TheAsianSensation]

I hope U-Dub is not in either (Washington I'm assuming you are talking about). The Pac-10 really does not deserve more than one bid IMO. But if that happens, will the extra spots go to mid-majors or to teams like Miss St. and Minnesota? We'll find out soon, but like I said, we have at least secured 7 at-large bids for non-BCS teams which represents and increase of 3 from last year. Not a bad jump, and hopefully there will be room for one or two more.

The problem is all the mid majors on the bubble decided to crap their pants this year.

[chitown fanatic]

TAS, there is no way the Illini are in. I've never seen a 75 RPI team who;s lost 6 of 8 down the stretch get so much love in my life. mis st and minny both have leapfrogged illini. 14 losses is too many..they are done..book it.