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In all honesty I think the only way we get back into the talk is if we win out the rest of schedule and keep our loss column in the single digits. With the BB that gives us an even 20 wins with 9 losses. That looks much more impressive given it's the regular season only. Then we really start to make a case if we win 2 and play well in the MVC championship game. We'd be 22 and 10 with quite a hot streak on our resume. The only good thing I can say about our loses is that they are clumped together which tells the story as it is...we were in a slump.
If you have 2 teams that are both 22-10:
Team A has been winning at a consistent rate of about 2 games for each lose
as compared to
Team B that lost 4 or 5 out of 6 or 7 games early in the season and finished with a 13 game winning streak
I think the one with the streak gets the nod because it would bee seen as playing better recently.
In all honesty I think we have to come pretty dang close to winning out the rest of the season to even be talked about for NCAA. I don't think 21-11 gets it but gets a nice seed for the NIT. Honestly, the exact scenario I drew up where we go 22-10 is the only way I see a good chance (40-50%) of us getting into the NCAA through at-large. But then again I'm no expert...just gut feeling. Maybe the pac-10 being awful this year will open some more spots for mid-majors.....haha nvm
By the way...if we do win out we'd have a conference record of 14-4. Is that good enough for 2nd or is that a 3rd place finish this year do you think?
If you have 2 teams that are both 22-10:
Team A has been winning at a consistent rate of about 2 games for each lose
as compared to
Team B that lost 4 or 5 out of 6 or 7 games early in the season and finished with a 13 game winning streak
I think the one with the streak gets the nod because it would bee seen as playing better recently.
In all honesty I think we have to come pretty dang close to winning out the rest of the season to even be talked about for NCAA. I don't think 21-11 gets it but gets a nice seed for the NIT. Honestly, the exact scenario I drew up where we go 22-10 is the only way I see a good chance (40-50%) of us getting into the NCAA through at-large. But then again I'm no expert...just gut feeling. Maybe the pac-10 being awful this year will open some more spots for mid-majors.....haha nvm
By the way...if we do win out we'd have a conference record of 14-4. Is that good enough for 2nd or is that a 3rd place finish this year do you think?
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