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The 1% club: Every year, someone runs out of this group to claim an at-large. It does not fail. One of these teams will make it:
Northwestern (13-9), Notre Dame (12-10), Nebraska (15-8 ), Stanford (15-8 ), Vanderbilt (15-9), Seton Hall (13-10), Ole Miss (13-11), Arkansas (13-10), New Mexico (16-9), Rhode Island (18-8 ), Illinois St (20-5), Wisconsin-Green Bay (18-7), Boise St (16-7), VCU (18-8 ), Western Kentucky (16-8 ), North Carolina St (14-9)
That covers the 32 NIT spots.
This next section is obviously very fluid. However, I post it to give everyone an idea as to Bradley's postseason chances, and to give a good indication of where we are in comparison to everyone else.
Let's fill the .com tournament!
Duqense (15-8 ), Mississippi St (15-9), Auburn (15-9), Bradley (13-10), Cleveland St (16-8 ), Houston (16-7), MiamiOH (15-8 ), VMI (16-5), Tulsa (16-9), UTEP (15-9), Wright St (16-10), Nevada (14-10), Niagara (21-6), Hofstra (16-9), Drexel (13-10), Portland (15-9)
CBI:
Vermont (19-7), Troy (16-10), Charleston (17-7), Tennessee-Martin (16-6), Washington St (13-12), TCU (12-12), St Louis (14-10), LaSalle (14-10), Central Florida (15-9), Evansville (13-10), Drake (14-11), Wisconsin-Milwaukee (12-11), New Mexico St (13-12), Fairfield (15-12), James Madison (17-10), Old Dominion (16-9)
Davidson will get the one mulligan (the comittee pays attention to stuff like that when Curry is out). Davidson/Butler is a play-in game - winner should lock into the field. If Davidson loses, though, it's bubble trouble all of a sudden.
Utah St makes me nervous.
Creighton is better off than we first though. They have a nice pocket collection of wins to lean on, so they're going to look pretty good compared to other mid majors, at least.
Seriously, though... We can laugh all we want. This is gonna be a BCS dominated NCAA Tourney for bids. B10, ACC and BE getting 20-23 bids isn't gonna be a stretch, IMO.
I guess I am laughing more at 8 B10 teams. Now... it could happen and might. But just like what they did last night during the ISu/Niagara game... they did the "blind test". They compared Georgetown to UNI. That made me laugh. They need to compare Georgetown to Penn St.
Next 4 in:
Minnesota
LSU
Siena (in as autobid)
Wisconsin
Virginia Tech
Utah St (in as autobid)
Last 4 in:
UNLV
Davidson (in as autobid)
San Diego St
Michigan
Oklahoma St
Last 4 out:
Penn St (19-8 )
Providence (16-11)
Cincinnati (16-10)
Maryland (17-9)
Next 4 out:
USC (16-10)
Kansas St (18-8 )
St Mary's (20-5)
Notre Dame (14-11)
In play:
Georgetown (14-11)
Miami (15-10)
Creighton (in as autobid)
New Mexico (17-10)
Temple (16-9)
Texas A&M (18-8 )
UAB (19-8 )
We've seen stranger things happen:
Northern Iowa (17-10)
George Mason (18-9)
Illinois St (22-6)
Baylor (15-10)
Mississippi (15-11)
Mississippi St (16-10)
Northwestern (14-10)
Should feel OK about NIT chances:
St Joseph's (14-11)
Rhode Island (20-8 )
Niagara (22-7)
Northeastern (17-10)
Nebraska (16-9)
NIT bubble. On average, these spots will disappear:
Seton Hall (13-11)
Tulsa (17-9)
Wisconsin-Green Bay (20-7)
Cleveland St (17-9)
Nevada (15-10)
Auburn (16-10)
.com tournament
North Carolina St (15-10)
Bradley (15-12)
St Louis (16-10)
Miami OH (15-10)
Hofstra (18-9)
Washington St (14-13)
Boise St (16-9)
Evansville (14-11)
Houston (17-8 )
Portland (17-9)
Arkansas-Little Rock (20-7)
Wright St (16-12)
Drexel (15-11)
Wyoming (14-10)
Rider (16-11)
Duquense (15-9)
CBI:
Stanford (15-10)
Drake (16-12)
UTEP (16-10)
Central Florida (15-10)
New Mexico St (14-12)
Wisconsin-Milwaukee (13-12)
Old Dominion (18-9)
Binghamton (17-8 )
Belmont (17-9)
Liberty (16-9)
Akron (16-10)
Charleston (19-7)
Troy (16-11)
LaSalle (14-11)
VMI (16-7)
Kent St (15-11)
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